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NFL WEEK 7 REPORT –

‘CAPPING THE MARQUEE MATCHUPS

ON THIS SUNDAY’S CARD PLUS

SPREAD STUFF ON UNBEATEN ARIZONA …

THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE:

WE WEIGH IN ON A COUPLE OF “UNDER-THE-RADAR” TILTS

Big Scores To Continue This Week
*Total Of Week – UNDER Broncos + UNDER In 1st Half.
*Prime Time Plays Now On 15-3 Run
*College Game Of Week…SMU Crushes Tulane
*3-1 Featured NFL Last Week…Win With Chiefs, Ravens…Monday Night Titans…Only Loss Bengals
 

Let’s clue you all in on some key pointspread numbers:

As the NFL Week 7 unfurls – last night’s 17-14 win/cover by the Cleveland Browns over the 1.5-point underdog Denver Broncos got it all jump-started – we remind you that NFL Betting Favorites this year now are a collective 44-50-0 ATS (against the spread) with one Pick ‘Em game (that’s a still-shabby .468 winning rate) while NFL Home Teams are an even worse 41-54-0 vig-wise (a .431 winning percentage).

Hmmm.

Take note that the Baltimore Ravens have failed to cover three-of-four games when in the chalk role; the Kansas City Chiefs are just 2-4 spreadwise as betting favs and both the New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers each have failed to cover three-of-four games when placed in the favorite’s role.

In other words, some of the league’s biggest “name teams” have really dropped the ball when it comes to cashing out as chalk sides and – you wonder –if that’s gonna turn around sooner rather than later.

Interestingly enough, the Ravens /Chiefs / Patriots / 49ers are all Betting Favorites on this next-to-last Sunday in October, so we’ll be keenly interested to see if they’re gonna “reward” their money backers.

Meanwhile, we have our antenna up for two marquee matchups on this here-and-now NFL Week 7 card, so let’s dig in …

On Sunday, it’s …

CINCINNATI (4-2) at BALTIMORE (5-1) – 1 p.m. ET, CBS

You know the deal: Baltimore’s won its last five in a row SU (straight-up) and is fresh off last weekend’s dominant 34-6 win against the Los Angeles Chargers when the Ravens owned clock 38:07-to-21:53. In a play Jim had right on top in Service. And while Jim did suffer his lone loss on the 3-1 featured NFL Weekend Plays with Cincinnati, he is all over this game. 

Now, if the NFL’s 4th-best rushing attack – starring QB Lamar Jackson and his nifty 6.1 yards-per-pop average – can hammer-and-tong the Bengals in the trenches, this could be a lights-out game. But one note on the frisky Bengals: Second-year QB Joe Burrow is completing nearly 71 percent of his throws this season and just this week former Super Bowl 25 MVP Phil Simms called him a “modern-day Joe Montana”.

Current Las Vegas Lines … Ravens – 6.5 and 46.5 points

Pointspread Notes – The Ravens are an electric 8-3-1 ATS when playing divisional games since the start of the 2019 season (yes, this is Baltimore’s first AFC North game and note John Harbaugh’s crew will play five of its final seven regular-season tilts inside the division) while Cincinnati’s a solid 16-11 spreadwise away the past three-plus seasons.

KANSAS CITY (3-3) at TENNESSEE (4-2) – 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Maybe last week’s second-half showing in the nation’s capital is what gets the two-time defending AFC champion KayCee Chiefs going: Jim certainly thought so as he tabbed the Chiefs as another Service Winner. 

Consider that Andy Reid’s crew outscored the Washington Football Team 21-zip after intermission last Sunday and there were headliners all around including QB Patrick Mahomes (see 397 yards passing and two aerial TDs) but the $64,000 question here is can Tennessee’s somewhat battered secondary keep everything “in front” of ‘em here?

Short week for the Titans who come off MNF’s 34-31 upset win against Buffalo and now trying to cover a third consecutive game for the first time since late ’19 (you can look it up!).

Current Las Vegas Lines … Chiefs – 4.5 and 57.5 points

Pointspread Notes – Go back to the start of the 2019 season and you’ll see the Titans are 10-6 spreadwise as point-grabbers while the Chiefs are now 3-13-1 ATS dating back to the middle of 2020.

Okay, so we can’t – and we won’t – wrap up an NFL segment here without something to say about the still-undefeated Arizona Cardinals who are whopping 17.5-point favorites against sad-sack Houston this Sunday (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS):

The Redbirds – 6-0 SU — have covered four in a row heading into this bash and they’re 5-1 ATS overall this special season but did ‘ya know that this NFC West club is 15-9 ATS when playing non-divisional foes since the start of 2019 and ‘Zona is 5-and-oh spreadwise this year when holding opponents to 20 points or less. Just sayin’!

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Plenty to say about the College kids even if this weekend’s action lacks a true “blockbuster game” – the USC at #13 Notre Dame tilt and that “third Saturday in October” bash between old SEC rivals Tennessee at #4 Alabama are nice prime-time affairs but nothing knocks your socks off – but let’s weigh in on a couple of “under-the-radar” games …

Nevada (5-1) at Fresno State (5-2) is a doozy in the West Division of the Mountain West Conference as the visiting Wolf Pack (a 3.5-point pup after opening as just a 1.5-point underdog) believes savvy QB Carson Strong (1,990 yards passing with 16 TDs and 3 INTs) can steer the Wolf Pack into the winner’s circle. Strong – in case you have not heard — is being talked up as a “top five” potential NFL draftee next spring.

#8 Oklahoma State (6-0) is at Iowa State (4-2) and why this IS an under-the-radar game remains a mystery ‘cause the O-State Cowboys already have won at 3.5-point fav Boise State and at 3-point choice Texas and – don’t look now – Pokes RB Jaylen Warren (33 carries for 193 yards rushing in last week’s comeback 32-24 win in Austin) is making a belated case for this year’s Heisman Trophy.