AFC South Showdown Kicks off the Weekend
Notre Dame’s nail-biting rally and overtime victory over Clemson has shifted the rankings. Alabama is the new No. 1 with the Irish second, Ohio State third, so the battle lines are drawn for the stretch run. The real fight will be on that coveted No. 4 slot with Clemson, Florida, Texas A&M, and even BYU + Cincinnati in the running along with several other teams. The Allstate Playoff Predictor pegs five teams with a 50% chance to make the playoff, while no other teams have more than a 15% shot.
So it’s win and you’re in! Easier said than done….except if you were with me over the weekend, going 5-3 on Saturday (another coveted Blue Ribbon winner with Arizona State), along with another winning Sunday, including a Bad Dog of the Week (NY Giants) and the AFC West Coast Shootout Side/Total Parlay (Raiders + Over). If you want to join the winning, get on board Jim Hurley’s Network online at VegasSportsMaster.pro, or a free phone call to 1-800-323-4453.
Let’s preview the football weekend, starting with a Thursday night AFC showdown….
Colts at Titans: A great divisional battle between the top two teams in the AFC South. You need defense to contend away from home and the Colts have it, No. 1 in the NFL in yards allowed (290 per game), third in points (20 pg) surrendered. The Colts held the Ravens to 54 yards in the first half on Sunday and 266 for the game, but it didn’t matter in a 24-10 loss at home. Turning the pigskin over twice on offense along with going just 2-for-12 on third down killed any chances for a statement victory. And they’ve had an easy schedule, so are they really a threat in the AFC? The offense isn’t, #19 in total yards, #21 in rushing, with a 38-year old QB who has 10 TDs, 7 INTs.
Meanwhile, Tennessee is just #24 in total defense yards allowed, sixth-worst in passing yards surrendered. The offense is carrying the load, #10 in yards gained, seventh in scoring (29 ppg), behind QB Ryan Tannehill (19 TDs, 3 INTS) and super-back Derrick Henry (843 yards, 4.6 ypc). Give the coaching staff credit, as the Titans have won games by 7, 3, 1, and 2 points. They’ve also had a favorable schedule playing six of nine home games and even have this one at home. Which means they play five of seven on the road to end the regular season. The Colts are 13-4 ATS versus Tennessee, including 6-2 ATS on this field. For totals plays, Indy is 13-6 UNDER the total as a road dog, plus 22-4 UNDER after a double-digit loss at home.
Notre Dame at Boston College: Talk about a situational spot for the home team! No. 2 Notre Dame comes off that thrilling comeback in two OTs at home against No. 1 Clemson, but now heads out on the road. Their QBs have thrown for just 8 TDs, one pick in seven games, so it’s a balanced attack with over 220 yards rushing and passing spearheaded by RBs Kyren Williams and Chris Tyree. The defense was fourth in the nation in points allowed before Clemson rolled up 439 yards and 40 points. Notre Dame is 90-58 UNDER the total versus winning teams.
This will be Notre Dame’s third road game in four weeks and Boston College presents an interesting obstacle. The Eagles gave then-No. 1 Clemson all it could handle in a 34-28 loss in Death Valley, even leading 28-13 at the half. However, the offense is #91 in the nation in total yards with no balance as their top running backs average 3.9 and 3.2 yards per carry. So will the defense be able to contain the Irish ground attack? Probably not, surrendering 143.8 yards per game. After all, last week they squeezed by a 1-7 Syracuse squad, 16-13. Notre Dame won 40-7 last year with the edge in yards 501-191 including 252 yards rushing, 5.7 ypc, though the dog is 9-4 ATS when they clash.
Quick pop quiz: What team leads college football in offensive yards per game? Not many would guess 4-2 Central Florida. They could actually play a role in the Top 10 countdown as the Golden Knights play No. 7 Cincinnati in two weeks.
Jim Not Waiting For Weekend To Build Bankroll…
Week Began With Tuesday Night Blowout
Kent State (-18) over Bowling Green 62-24
TO SAY THE BOOKS ALSO MISSED WEDNESDAY
IS THE UNDERSTATEMENT OF THE GET THE NEXT
MAC TV “KRUSHER” TONIGHT
(Check Here For Winning Details)
NFL Tampa Bay at Carolina: Now what on earth was that? The Bucs come off a showdown at home with division rival New Orleans…and lost 38-3. With the season sweep, the Saints are in the driver’s seat for the division title, though they have the same number of wins as Tampa Bay. QB Tom Brady never won a Super Bowl with the Patriots without a playoff bye. Now they have to shake it off and head out on the road to a 3-6 Carolina squad that plays everybody tough, off a 33-31 loss at the defending champs. On the other hand, they’ve lost four in a row and the defense is #17 in yards allowed, #19 versus the pass, and Tampa Bay won the first meeting, 31-17 in Week 2. The Bucs are 9-2-1 ATS after a double-digit loss at home, 22-8 OVER the total on the road, and the road team is 9-4 ATS when these teams duel.
Seahawks at Rams: A brutal situational spot for first-place Seattle, off a 44-34 loss at Buffalo and now playing another road game. QB Russell Wilson (28 TDs, 8 INTs) leads the way, while the defense can’t stop anybody, last in yards allowed (455.8 pg) and passing yards (362.1 pg), third-worst in points (30.4 pg). Seattle is 33-15-4 ATS after a defeat, 35-17-3 ATS as an underdog.
The Rams are unbeaten at home (3-0) and come off a bye week. They needed it after losing at Miami, 28-17, and have lost two of three. The defense has been mostly great, Top 6 in yards and points allowed. It’s the offense that has been uneven, sixth in total yards but #20 in points (24.1 pg). QB Jared Goff really hasn’t been the same since the Super Bowl loss to New England, throwing 35 TDs, 23 INTs (counting the Super Bowl). They’ve only played one division game (losing to the 49ers, 24-16) and just three versus winning teams, beating the Bears (24-10) while losing to Buffalo (35-32) and Miami. The underdog is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
Ravens at Patriots: Baltimore (13-6 ATS run) is one of the most talented, balanced teams in the NFL as evidenced by their 4-0 road record. They are outscoring opponents by +85 points, second-best in the league behind the Chiefs. The Patriots stayed on life-support for the playoffs Monday night, ending their four-game skid with a 51-yard field goal on the final play, 30-27, to beat the…0-9 Jets. Not exactly a champagne-popping victory. It was 19 years ago that Bill Belichick’s Pats started 1-3 and 5-5…and went on to win the Super Bowl. But the comparisons end there as this group has too many holes. Their QBs have a mind-boggling 3 TDs, 11 picks, low-lighted by Cam Newton’s 2 TDs, 7 INTs. The Pats are getting outscored by -28 points. The Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS at New England against far better Patriot teams than this one.